NORFOLK, Va. — When I started as a professional meteorologist in 1980, long-range hurricane forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) went out three days, or 72 hours. It would be over 20 ...

The size of the tropical cyclone forecast error cone for 2025 will be about 3-5% smaller for systems in the Atlantic basin and 5-10% smaller for systems in the eastern Pacific.

Weather forecasts have gotten quite good over the years, but their temperatures aren’t always spot on — and the result when they underplay extremes can be lethal. Even a 1-degree difference in a ...

The cone represents the probable track of the storm's center, with a 66% chance of it staying within the cone. Misinterpretations of the cone include assuming all impacts will occur within its ...

Due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, weather forecasts, even with ever improving numerical weather prediction models, eventually lose all skill. Meteorologists have a strong desire to better ...